Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.014097 2.315442 2.650284 3.050591 3.517025 4.044387 4.687302
2025-04-27 1.534766 1.928799 2.410533 3.045743 3.865654 4.894137 6.291167
2025-05-04 1.318043 1.758975 2.334144 3.145395 4.269828 5.787398 8.014500
2025-05-11 1.140574 1.596694 2.223330 3.156575 4.527391 6.492304 9.567499
2025-05-18 1.006571 1.467697 2.129930 3.163540 4.760290 7.172968 11.169921
2025-05-25 0.876657 1.323804 1.990979 3.075560 4.826518 7.597843 12.426594
2025-06-01 0.802315 1.251849 1.947065 3.121489 5.098478 8.369386 14.352414
2025-06-08 0.745397 1.198820 1.923783 3.193192 5.415701 9.250136 16.596063
2025-06-15 0.684671 1.131771 1.868547 3.201572 5.621104 9.959930 18.637170
2025-06-22 0.618816 1.048441 1.775956 3.131827 5.674861 10.399224 20.228762
2025-06-29 0.565831 0.981300 1.703251 3.087304 5.765974 10.914427 22.044391
2025-07-06 0.514882 0.912377 1.619793 3.012040 5.786632 11.292106 23.631199
2025-07-13 0.492211 0.897123 1.640664 3.155486 6.293674 12.790312 28.071886
2025-07-20 0.451238 0.844392 1.587858 3.152695 6.515769 13.765037 31.626778
2025-07-27 0.427541 0.821337 1.588207 3.256035 6.975924 15.330312 36.915862
2025-08-03 0.396793 0.780561 1.548034 3.267645 7.235342 16.488948 41.472126
2025-08-10 0.369094 0.742607 1.508717 3.274875 7.484934 17.668173 46.361346
2025-08-17 0.335725 0.689112 1.430446 3.183549 7.486487 18.242066 49.746005
2025-08-24 0.317458 0.665589 1.413599 3.231224 7.834634 19.755957 56.173473
2025-08-31 0.302863 0.648362 1.408427 3.305657 8.262648 21.561306 63.938198
2025-09-07 0.284790 0.621412 1.378137 3.314357 8.520989 22.955533 70.803747
2025-09-14 0.262984 0.583703 1.318786 3.241956 8.549674 23.709006 75.801379
2025-09-21 0.244887 0.552754 1.272012 3.195740 8.644035 24.674353 81.787136